Virginia Daily — Mar 12, 2026
Photo: lyceumnews.com
Thursday, March 12, 2026
The Big Picture
Virginia's Democratic trifecta can't agree on a budget, and the thing holding it up is a tax break nobody outside the industry understood until it ballooned to $1.9 billion a year. Budget conferees have until this morning to produce a deal or the General Assembly blows past its Saturday adjournment — and the fight over whether data centers should keep buying billions in equipment tax-free is now the only leverage point reformers have left. Meanwhile, Iran just named the companies that own most of Northern Virginia's data center corridor as military targets, Richmond's new mayor is betting his first budget on housing, and a roundabout in Crozet is the most tangible good news anyone in the Commonwealth is getting today.
Today's Stories
The Budget Has Hours to Live — and the Conference Committee Still Hasn't Met
If you work for the Commonwealth, teach in a public school, or pay state income taxes, stop here.
Virginia's two-year budget is stuck. As of Wednesday afternoon, the House-Senate budget conference committee tasked with reconciling the House and Senate spending plans hadn't convened — and House rules require the final document to be available 48 hours before a floor vote, meaning negotiators need a deal by roughly this morning to adjourn Saturday as scheduled. The holdup isn't Republicans; the standoff centers on an intra-Democratic dispute over the data center sales tax exemption, a provision that lets qualifying facilities buy servers, networking gear, and cooling equipment without paying Virginia sales taxes.
The exemption was supposed to cost $80–100 million a year when Sen. Creigh Deeds sponsored it in 2009. It now costs more than $1.9 billion annually. The Senate wants to phase it out. The House — where members represent Loudoun, Fairfax, and Prince William, counties where data centers are a major tax base — wants to protect it. Gov. Spanberger's administration has signaled "serious concerns about going back on commitments Virginia has made to businesses," while Senate Finance Chair Louise Lucas says she won't send a budget that preserves the break.
If there's no deal by this morning, a special session looks increasingly likely. That could mean Richmond stays open, per diems stop, school divisions can't plan, and the dysfunction becomes the story. Local advocacy groups are already flagging how narrow the window has become.
Iran Names Virginia's Biggest Tenants as Military Targets
This is a national security story that lands differently in Ashburn than anywhere else on Earth.
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps declared American tech and banking companies — specifically naming Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Nvidia, IBM, Oracle, and Palantir — as "legitimate targets" in the context of the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict. Several AWS data centers in the Middle East have gone offline after drone strikes; Iran has claimed some strikes targeted sites hosting U.S. military workloads. Standard insurance policies typically don't cover war-related losses.
Here's the Virginia math: the Commonwealth houses roughly half of U.S. data center capacity, by some industry estimates, and routes a substantial share of global internet traffic. The companies on Iran's list collectively own and operate the majority of that infrastructure in Loudoun and Fairfax counties. A geopolitical conflict 6,000 miles away is now explicitly naming the owners of Northern Virginia's physical internet backbone. The announcement comes amid likely recalibrations of threat postures by federal facility security coordinators and county emergency management offices, though none of that will surface publicly. The social media amplification is already moving faster than official channels, which matters for local political pressure.
Iran-linked hackers also struck medical device giant Stryker in a retaliatory cyberattack this week — a reminder that the threat isn't hypothetical.
Richmond Mayor Avula Drops His First Full Budget — and Housing Is the Headline
If you live or own property in the city of Richmond, Wednesday's budget speech is your preview of taxes, services, and housing policy for the next year. Mayor Danny Avula released his proposed FY 2027 budget centering on housing affordability, public safety, schools, and economic opportunity.
The prepared remarks emphasize adding "more homes for more people" and helping families stay in their neighborhoods — a clear signal that zoning changes, affordable housing incentives, or both are coming when City Council starts markups. The proposal also pitches investments to keep Richmond competitive with Northern Virginia and neighboring counties for jobs and tax base. Details on the real estate tax rate, school funding, and capital projects will drive neighborhood-by-neighborhood reactions once line items are fully digested.
The next move is City Council's. Expect hearings over the coming weeks where housing, schools, and small-business growth battle for limited dollars. If you have priorities, now is when to push them.
$73 Billion Data Center Project Drops Into the Middle of Virginia's Tax Fight
Just as Richmond argues over whether to tax data centers more, a project of almost unimaginable scale is taking shape 200 miles south. A developer is set to buy nearly 3,000 acres at the Southern Virginia Megasite at Berry Hill in Pittsylvania County, with a draft performance agreement outlining $73 billion in investment and 2,050 jobs over 30 years. Supporters point to proposed average salaries north of $80,000 as proof the incentives work. Critics say projects this profitable are exactly why the exemption should be restructured.
The timing is surgical. Proponents will wave this in front of budget conferees as Exhibit A for keeping the tax break. Opponents will argue that a $73 billion project doesn't need a subsidy. That argument is playing out in real time in the conference committee — if the conference committee ever meets.
New Roundabout Opens in Crozet, Ending Years of Commuter Headaches
For anyone who drives through western Albemarle County, today brings a concrete improvement. VDOT is opening the new roundabout at Routes 240 and 250 — an intersection that has been a congested, accident-prone headache for years. Starting today, the temporary detour on Route 680 comes down and drivers use the new circular intersection.
VDOT cautions the project isn't fully complete — crews will be working through the summer, so expect occasional lane closures. But this is a tangible quality-of-life upgrade for a rapidly growing part of Central Virginia, replacing a clunky intersection with a modern design that keeps traffic moving. Sometimes government just builds the thing.
⚡ What Most People Missed
The Commerce Department's AI preemption report was due yesterday — and nobody's talking about it. The Secretary of Commerce was required by March 11 to publish an evaluation identifying state AI laws that conflict with federal policy, potentially handing the DOJ's new AI Litigation Task Force its target list. Virginia hasn't passed sweeping AI consumer-protection law yet, but whether Virginia's emerging AI-adjacent rules show up on that list determines what Richmond can do next session. Virginia AG Jason Miyares has joined a bipartisan coalition pushing back against any blanket federal ban on state AI protections.
A billion identity records were sitting on the open internet — unpassworded — and AI put them there. IDMerit, an AI-powered identity verification company, left a database containing over a billion records — full names, addresses, national ID numbers, dates of birth — accessible to anyone who knew where to look. The U.S. had the highest exposure at 203 million records. For Virginia's financial institutions and fintechs relying on third-party KYC providers, this means renewed regulatory scrutiny and vendor renegotiations are coming.
Culpeper County is quietly becoming the next Loudoun — and almost nobody outside the industry is watching. After AWS secured permission for a campus in 2022, CloudHQ, DataBank, EdgeCore, and others have piled in with campuses totaling millions of square feet. Culpeper doesn't have Loudoun's political infrastructure to manage this growth — no established community groups, no data center zoning ordinance, no track record. It could repeat Prince William's mistakes at speed.
Sen. Warner unveiled a bipartisan AI workforce proposal on March 11, 2026, that looks like a Virginia higher-ed play. The plan would create a national commission on AI reskilling; presidents from Virginia Tech, UVA, George Mason, JMU, and NOVA all signed on, positioning the Commonwealth's university system as the testbed for whatever federal AI training money comes next.
Virginia's courts just formalized rules for judges using ChatGPT. The Supreme Court of Virginia quietly published guidance governing generative AI on court-issued devices — limiting use to research and drafting, and banning confidential case data from commercial systems. For the Eastern District's "rocket docket," this is AI treated as infrastructure under tight guardrails, not magic. If it works, expect similar regimes in the AG's office and county prosecutors.
📅 What to Watch
- If budget conferees don't file a report by tonight, school divisions and state agencies shift from planning around a full biennial budget to bracing for a temporary spending plan — and the immediate operational consequences (hiring freezes, delayed contracts, tightened cash flows for local schools) become the practical story as well as the political one.
- If the Senate wins the data center tax fight, expect immediate public reactions from hyperscale operators and the Northern Virginia Technology Council that could spook site selectors evaluating the $73 billion Pittsylvania project and similar pipeline deals — potentially slowing or reshaping announced investment timelines.
- If Loudoun's Board of Supervisors finalizes strict special exception standards for data centers, developers with billions in pipeline projects will accelerate shifts to Prince William, Culpeper, and Pittsylvania — altering the long-term geography of taxable investment and local infrastructure demand in Northern Virginia.
- If today's AFCEA Naval IT Day in Chantilly surfaces aggressive Navy timelines for cloud and AI procurement, NOVA defense contractors will ramp cleared tech hiring — intensifying demand for secure office and lab space near Dulles and adding another layer of competition for regional infrastructure.
- If Arlington's County Board makes ranked-choice voting permanent Saturday, it becomes a tangible proof-of-concept for other Virginia localities weighing the switch — and the simultaneous median-sign ban on the agenda could prompt a First Amendment challenge that draws more legal attention than the voting reform itself.
A senator questioning his own 17-year-old tax break, a roundabout replacing an intersection that outlasted three governors, and Iran drawing a target on the buildings where your Netflix buffers. The Commonwealth's entire budget is hostage to a sales tax exemption that grew twentyfold while nobody was looking — which is roughly the same oversight model Culpeper County is about to apply to its own data center boom.
See you tomorrow — assuming the General Assembly is still in session to cover.